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Today's top stories and Weather: September 1, 2006

Today's top business stories:   Today's top stories:

Blair defies his party over departure date
He told his party to 'stop obsessing' about the leadership and get on with government

As deadline passes, US says Iran must pay for its defiance
The UN's nuclear watchdog listed numerous cases of non-cooperation by the Iranian authorities with atomic inspectors

Race chief could be in the BNP, says Livingstone
The bitter attack, made during a live radio interview, was denounced by the Tories as disgraceful
 

OTHER HEADLINES

World
California heats up the political climate with greenhouse gas...
Arnold Schwarzenegger has introduced new laws bringing in America's toughest controls on greenhouse gas emissions
More World News

World
Two lives saved by white blood cells turned into cancer-hunters
Two men dying of the most dangerous form of skin cancer have been saved after their white blood cells were genetically engineered to fight their tumours
More World News

Business
Goldman Sachs employees to stump up $1bn for fund
The financing of the fund should be complete by 2007 and will put Goldmans on an equal footing with the world's biggest buyout firms
More Business News

Sport
Deal or no deal? Cole fears being left in limbo
An outline deal had been agreed between Arsenal and Chelsea but there were growing fears that the move may not be completed in time

 

 

 

 

Small business news - this week's stories:

NEW ITEMS

 

 

OLD NEWS

Smart Money
This week's top tip - by Anne Ashworth, Personal Finance Editor
Debt-laden consumers are feeling the pain after the festive spending frenzy. The Consumer Credit Counselling Service (CCCS) took 9,310 calls in the first nine working days of the year, an increase of almost 14 per cent from the same period in 2005. If you fear that your borrowing is out of control, the Financial Services Authority has launched an online "debt test" to help you manage your debts: fsa.gov.uk/consumer/debt_test. The site was launched in conjunction with the BBC and Experian, the credit reference agency. Advice is also given on what action you can take to solve debt problems

Money news
By Joe Morgan

Will the year of the dog bark loudly?
After a cracking 2005, most investors will be hoping that this year is not a dog. The Chinese, however, will be taking a different view next Sunday. On that day they celebrate new year, when the year of the rooster gives way to the year of the dog. Despite the ill-omens such a characterisation might conjure up for Westerners, Khiem Do, the manager of Barings' China Absolute Return is using the event to sing the praises of China as an investment destination in 2006. Mr Do says the Japanese, Korean and Indian markets became more expensive in 2005, making China look more attractive. In addition, he points out that next Tuesday will see the opening up of China's "A share" market to foreigners. This will increase liquidity in an area of the Chinese stock market covering 1,300 companies hitherto barred to Western investors

Fund groups still positive on Japan
Three fund management groups are singing the praises of Japan, despite its wobbles last week. JP Morgan Asset Management thinks the market's dip "represents a needed period of consolidation, which is expected to be the prelude to a further period of expansion in a long-term bull market." AXA Investment Managers agrees, saying that the economic growth story remains intact, while the stock market is cheap or fairly valued, depending on which valuation measure you use. There might be some short-term profit-taking but "looking ahead, against a positive economic outlook, we remain convinced that further gains are the most likely outcome." Finally, F&C Investments adds its voice to this chorus of approval, saying that further evidence of inflation in Japan would be good news for share prices there

Jupiter manager talks up industry
Now for something completely different - a fund manager talking up the abilities of his own industry. John Chatfeild-Roberts, the star Jupiter manager, has produced a book which champions the stock-picking abilities of fund managers against index trackers. He makes some good points - rubbishing, for instance, the view of the Financial Services Authority that past performance is not a guide to the future. He also highlights the importance of people over processes. He appears to be on shakier ground, though, with his view that because "there are plenty of investors who lose money to the market consistently" there are managers who consistently beat the market

Skipton launches mixed cash-equity bond
Skipton building society has launched a "50/50 FTSE Bond" which offers savers both a stake in the stock market and a guaranteed rate of interest. The bond is split into two parts: a five-year, index-linked bond, which offers customers 50 per cent of any growth in the FTSE 100 index. And a five-year bond with a fixed interest rate of 5.65 per cent. Savers can invest between #3,000 and #250,000 in the bond, which is available at Skipton's branch network. But, Patrick Connolly, of John Scott & Partners, says: "They are trying to lure savers in with a high fixed rate. But half of the cash will be linked in a stock-market linked investment where savers forsake dividend payments and the growth which could be achieved by investing in the stock market directly." Weigh up your savings and investment options at price comparison websites such as
moneyfacts.co.uk

Up in smoke
If you made quitting smoking your new year's resolution, make sure your insurance company knows about it. Research by Sainsbury's Bank has found that only a quarter of the 6.78 million people who gave up smoking over the past five years have told their Life Insurance Company. The bank estimates that up to 2.2 million ex-smokers may be wasting at least #126.72 million a year because they have not reviewed their life insurance requirements to reflect their new non-smoker status. Customers can sample insurance polices at online websites such as
insurancewide.com and insuresupermarket.com. To find out how much smoking costs you click here

 

Early omens look good for 2006. Almost
With City traders back at their desks for barely a week, stock market historian David Schwartz believes it may already be possible to discern the first trend of 2006. There is an old stock market adage that if shares rise on the first five trading days of January, the rest of the year will be a good one. His records show 21 occasions since 1936 when shares rose on the first five trading days by 1.3 per cent or more. "Prices continued to rise by year-end in 17 of those years, an 81 per cent success rate," he says. With the FTSE All Share up by a healthy 1.9 per cent in the first five days of this year, that should mean the omens are good. However, the predictive quality of this little statistical nugget is somewhat undermined by Mr Schwartz's caveat, however. "The important point to keep in mind when evaluating the five day claim is that shares rise from Day 6 to year-end in 64 per cent of all years, regardless of what happens in the first five days"

rks & Spencer impress market analysts
Anyone inspired to be bullish about the stock market this year will want to hold on to Marks & Spencer shares, according to Numis Securities. The stock broker says that today's trading statement suggests that the recovering retailer is doing better than they had been expecting. The improvement "was even more impressive given that M&S held two 'megaday' discount days last Christmas which added around 1.5 per cent to sales," he says. As a result, they expect to raise their expectations of profits for this year and have put a target price of 525p on the shares

US markets need to factor-in interest rates
There is a word of caution from Baring Asset Management about what is happening across the Atlantic. As the US bull market powers on, the fund management group warns that the peak in American interest rates could still be years away. And it points out that many mortgage borrowers may not feel the immediate effects of any fall in money costs. According to BAM's Percival Stanion: "Many US mortgages... have annual resets, sometimes with clauses that mean the new rate is based on the borrower's credit rating, rather than the market rate. This could mean that many marginal buyers will face huge rate increases... the bulk of the adjustments occur at the end of Q1 and the middle of Q2 2006. There is therefore a risk of weakness in both housing and consumer spending as we go into the second half." And, with the share of the economy taken by company profits at a cyclical peak, there is likely to be a shift back towards wages and other costs, all of which spells bad news for investors in shares

 

iShares: a correction. In last week's Times Online Investor's Bulletin, we mistakenly said that investors in iShares do not benefit from dividend payments. In fact, they do receive dividends because an iShare, like a tracker fund, invests in the shares that make up a particular index and those shares will pay dividends. We apologise for any misunderstanding

 

Business Tips and Advice

 

Thousands of solicitors face data protection fines

29 August 2005

Thousands of small solicitors' firms are facing fines of up to £5,000 if they continue to breach the Data Protection Act.

The Information Commissioner's Office (ICO), which oversees compliance with the Act, has launched a crackdown on around 3,000 legal firms which have still not registered as data controllers.

Coping in a cashflow crisis

Emergency measures for when cashflow dries up

By Jane Applegate

A common ailment afflicting small businesses is that of managing cash flow. However, there are ways to cut costs and boost your cash flow for a short time, to put you back on track long enough to find a long-term solution:

Cash flow tip 1. Go through all your accounts receivable and contact everyone who owes you money. Offer them a discount of 5% to 10% if they pay their bill in full within a week.

Cash flow tip 2. Double-check every order to make sure the invoices have been sent out for payment. Often you get so busy doing the work, you forget to bill for it. Collecting the money people owe you may provide some of the cash you need to survive.

Cash flow tip 3. Contact all your vendors and suppliers. Explain that you are having some difficulty and ask them to renegotiate your credit terms to extend the time you have to pay them. Many suppliers will help their loyal customers stay afloat during rough times because they don't want to lose you forever.

Cash flow tip 4. If possible, decrease your outgoing cash flow by closing your office and move your business into your home. Cutting your rent and utility bills may provide the financial solution you need-at least for the short term.

Cash flow tip 5. If you can afford to lay anyone off, do it. Job reductions are tough on employers just as they are to employees. If it's a good worker, you may have developed a loyalty to that person. Help them find a new job if you can, but the bottom line is you've got to save your business first. You may be able to hire the employee back at a later time. In the interim, hire temporary workers to handle projects until your cash flow is more positive and you are on a more solid financial footing again.

Cash flow tip 6. You might try to sell part of your business to an "angel." Angels are private investors, usually successful entrepreneurs, who invest in other businesses in their industry. If you have a viable business concept, product or technology, a sympathetic angel may be willing to bail you out in exchange for equity.

Attracting outside capital, especially venture capital, is not an option for an ailing business. Venture capitalists invest in fast-growing, successful businesses that provide an attractive rate of return on their capital.

Managing cashflow

Understanding the basics of keeping cash coming in

Summary

A business can survive for a short time without sales or profits, but not without cash. It is cash which pays the bills and allows trading to continue. And if you are growing and extending credit to more customers, the need for cash is even greater.

This briefing explains:

The main components of cashflow.

How to forecast and control cashflow.

Tactics for generating more cash.

Tips on using the right types of finance for your needs.

1. Components of Cashflow

Your cashflow is the balance of all the money which flows into and out of, your business each day. Cashflow is the actual payments of money, as opposed to what is owed by your debtors or to your creditors.

There are five main components of cashflow.

1.

The main inflow of cash is usually the cash from sales.

If you sell on credit, your cash inflow is delayed until you are actually paid. Effective credit control is essential. (See 5)

A business which purchases on credit and is paid in cash, such as a retailer, is at a great advantage in cashflow terms.

2.

New finance provides a one-off boost to your cashflow.

In the past, most businesses have relied on bank overdraft finance and have reached their borrowing limits quickly. Alternative methods of funding allow you to raise more finance (see 7).

3.

The main outflow of cash is the money used for expenditure, including paying for your overheads.

Salaries (including National Insurance contributions) are often the largest and most inflexible cost.

Other major costs might include stock, raw materials and any capital expenditure.

Many businesses have to fund large amounts of work-in-progress.

For example, a design agency might spend six months on a project before the client is prepared to be invoiced. In the meantime, the agency has to foot the bill for all the materials and labour that go into the job.

4.

VAT and tax are regular cash outflows that tend to be paid out in large lumps. You can be penalised heavily for late payments. (See Managing your creditors)

Buying significant items just before a VAT period ends, rather than at the start of the next one, can help your cashflow.

5.

Your business needs to give its owners and financiers a return on their investment.

You must pay interest - and repay capital - to lenders such as the bank.

If there is spare cash, you - and other shareholders - may want to draw back any personal loans made to the business.

2. Cashflow Forecasting

The more warning you have of cashflow peaks and troughs, the more time you have to deal with them.

1.

Accounting software makes it easier to prepare budgets and revenue and expenditure forecasts for the months and years ahead.

You can quickly update your projections and make 'what if' calculations. For example, what if sales are 20 per cent below forecast for six months in a row?

For maximum flexibility and ease of use, you can use special forecasting software, such as Winforecast.

You could use graphics to make it easy to detect patterns and step changes.

2.

Prepare budgets showing the level of sales and profits you expect to achieve and the costs involved in doing so.

Estimate the sales and margins, based on past experience. Overheads such as rent can be accurately predicted.

3.

Prepare monthly (or weekly) cashflow forecasts, looking ahead one year, updated monthly.

These forecasts show what cash you expect to come in and when (if at all) you expect to run into problems.

Identify the major outgoings, especially those on fixed dates, such as the monthly payroll.

Make sure you will have sufficient cash on the day, to cover each payment.

The key is to be realistic. For your regular sales, use the established figures for sales volumes, debtor periods and bad debts.

For any new products or customers, be pessimistic - expect problems and delays and do not book a sale until the customer has paid the invoice.

Be aware that monthly forecasts do not take into account weekly fluctuations.

4.

Include key indicators that give a picture of the health (and prospects) of your business. (See Key performance indicators)

For example, the volume and status of sales leads and the volume of orders.

5.

Include the budgets and forecasts in the management accounts which you regularly send to the bank.

A bank which trusts your forecasts will be more prepared to extend your borrowing facility when you need extra finance. (See Managing your creditors)

3. Using the Forecasts

1.

Monitor your actual performance against the budget and the cashflow forecast regularly - at least once a month. Identify any problems and take immediate action.

For example, if you know you will be short of cash in three months' time, you might reduce stocks, slow down sales growth, or agree extended credit from a major supplier for that period.

The only way to generate cash over the long term is through retained profits.

By comparing your performance with the budget, you can quickly judge whether sales and profits are going to plan.

2.

Before taking on any large financial commitment, including major new orders, check that you will have sufficient cashflow (or other finance) to pay the costs involved.

Create a useful yardstick by working out how much extra working capital is required to fund each 10 per cent increase in monthly sales.

Restrict the growth of your business to whatever you can comfortably afford to finance. Always keep a financial reserve available for contingencies.

3.

Develop red light systems to warn you automatically if something needs querying.

Your sales manager must let you know as early as possible if leads, orders, or sales, fall below a certain threshold, or if planned sales will be later than forecast. Or if a substantial customer stops buying from you.

Your financial controller should warn you if key indicators such as profit margins, liquidity ratios and stock ratios deteriorate beyond an agreed limit.

You also need to know about any substantial invoices which are in dispute, particularly late debts and customers exceeding their credit limits.

4. Sales and Marketing

1.

Today's sales are tomorrow's cashflow, so your overall aim is to keep increasing sales and profitability.

Increasing prices may reduce sales (and therefore cashflow) in the short term.

But this is often outweighed by its major positive impact on profitability and cash generation over the longer term.

2.

Even profitable companies can - and do - become insolvent through overtrading.

This happens when you have to pay the costs you incurred fulfilling an order before you receive payment from your customer.

To avoid this risk, you may need to delay some orders and decline others. (See 3.2)

3.

When negotiating contracts with customers, make generating cashflow one of your primary objectives.

You may be suprised at how easy it is to obtain deposits. For example, to pay for any materials which you need to buy in.

Negotiate stage payments for contracts which will take time to complete.

Include a timetable for the customer to pay invoices as part of this agreement.

Agree a clear specification for the work to be completed, to minimise the chance of the customer disputing any invoices.

4.

Improve your sales and profit margins by making sure all your work is invoiced for as soon as possible.

Suppliers are often asked to perform beyond their original remit.

It is reasonable to negotiate additional payments in these circumstances.

5.

If you need to improve your cashflow temporarily, adjust your sales and marketing plans to suit.

Bring forward sales by offering customers incentives to purchase quickly.

Bring forward payments by offering customers incentives (eg discounts).

Focus your marketing on short-term lead generation, rather than longer term objectives like brand recognition.

6.

If you pay sales commission, link it to receipt of payment rather than receipt of order. (See Incentive pay)

There is a double cashflow benefit:

You delay payment of the commission.

Your sales people will persuade your customers to pay promptly.

5. Credit Control

An efficient credit control system speeds up your cash collection and reduces the number of bad debts. It also saves you time and shows your customers you run your business professionally.

1.

Control how much credit you provide and to which customers.

Avoid giving any customer more credit than you could afford to lose if the sale turned into a bad debt.

2.

Send out invoices immediately after you have supplied what the customer ordered.

If appropriate, make a follow-up call. Confirm that all the invoice details were correct and that there will be no problem paying it by the due date.

3.

Monitor late payments and chase them up methodically, largest debtors first.

All businesses - and the public sector - have a legal right to charge late-paying customers interest on contracts. See Interest on late payments for further information.

Using a debt collection agency, or a specialist solicitor, can be an effective method of dealing with non-payers.

6. Controlling Expenditure

1.

Shop around, so you know the prices and service which you should insist on from your suppliers. (See 7.3 for other options.)

Consider whether you could make savings by purchasing some types of capital equipment secondhand.

2.

Implement simple cost control systems across your whole business, to identify scope for cost savings. (See Cost control)

For a start, four types of easy savings can usually be found:

Overcharging by your suppliers, such as double billing or missing discounts.

Unnecessary costs, such as heating your premises at night.

Excessive costs, such as high priced suppliers providing a product or service that a low price supplier could provide.

Inefficiency, such as laborious paper-based systems which could be computerised (to reduce costs in the long term).

3.

If you hold stock, good stock control can release substantial sums of money.

Aim to maintain just enough of each type of stock to service your customers on an on-going basis. Identify seasonal peaks and troughs.

Set a target stock-turn (eg six times a year) for each category of stock, then monitor your performance.

The faster your suppliers can deliver to you, the less stock you need hold.

Consider selling off any old or obsolete stock to raise extra cash.

7. New Funding

You need a solid financial base to underpin the cashflow of your business. Take full advantage of the different types of finance available.

1.

Overdraft and loan finance may be limited by the security you can give the bank. (See Overdrafts and bank loans)

2.

Factoring allows you to raise finance based on the value of outstanding invoices. (See Factoring and invoice discounting)

Growing businesses in particular often find that factoring provides a more substantial and flexible source of working capital than overdrafts or loans.

3.

Consider using asset finance to purchase computers, vehicles, plant and machinery. (See Financing equipment)

For example, both hire purchase and leasing allow you to spread the cost of the acquisition, with the asset itself providing the main security.

4.

A strong financial base of equity finance (and directors' loans) is vital when a business starts up. Subsequent injections of equity finance can help you achieve step changes in the growth of the business. (See Venture capital and Business angels)

For example, if you need extra finance to buy another firm or open a new factory.

Positive Cashflow

Some types of business are cash-positive - as long as they are profitable, they should generate cash as sales increase. For example:

1.

Retail outlets are paid cash and may not pay their suppliers for 60 days.

Likewise a taxi firm or a bus company takes cash, then pays the wages later on.

2.

Some travel agencies are paid in advance by customers, but pay the holiday operator just before the holiday.

3.

Many computer maintenance firms are paid a monthly or even annual retainer in advance.

No Profits and No Cashflow

Here is a list of the bad business practices that cause many needless business failures.

Taking on financial commitments (such as new employees) before the business can afford to pay for them.

Doing large amounts of speculative work in the hope that a customer might then purchase what you have produced.

Overvaluing stock, work-in-progress and fixed assets such as machinery.

Making no provision for major expenses which you know are likely to happen.

Failing to do any cashflow forecasting, particularly if your business is struggling to grow.

Failing to agree the details of an order with the customer, or the payment terms, which leads to a dispute.

Failing to implement an effective credit control system, starting with credit checking prospective customers.

 

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